Is Gun Violence Contagious? A Spatiotemporal Test

Existing theories of gun violence predict stable spatial concentrations and contagious diffusion of gun violence into surrounding areas. Recent empirical studies have reported confirmatory evidence of such spatiotemporal diffusion of gun violence. However, existing space/time interaction tests canno...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Loeffler, Charles E. (Author) ; Flaxman, Seth (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 2018
In: Journal of quantitative criminology
Year: 2018, Volume: 34, Issue: 4, Pages: 999-1017
Online Access: Volltext (Resolving-System)
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Summary:Existing theories of gun violence predict stable spatial concentrations and contagious diffusion of gun violence into surrounding areas. Recent empirical studies have reported confirmatory evidence of such spatiotemporal diffusion of gun violence. However, existing space/time interaction tests cannot readily distinguish spatiotemporal clustering from spatiotemporal diffusion. This leaves as an open question whether gun violence actually is contagious or merely clusters in space and time. Compounding this problem, gun violence is subject to considerable measurement error with many nonfatal shootings going unreported to police.
ISSN:1573-7799
DOI:10.1007/s10940-017-9363-8