On the use of inferential statistics on administrative police data

This chapter aims to spark a conversation about the use of inferential statistics when using administrative police data. Through a (mini) scoping review of eight recent issues of journals within the field of criminology and crime science, we observe that all but one of the examined studies employ in...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. VerfasserIn: Verlaan, Tim (VerfasserIn)
Beteiligte: Langton, Samuel
Medienart: Druck Aufsatz
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: 2024
In: The crime data handbook
Jahr: 2024, Seiten: 197-210
Verfügbarkeit prüfen: HBZ Gateway
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520 |a This chapter aims to spark a conversation about the use of inferential statistics when using administrative police data. Through a (mini) scoping review of eight recent issues of journals within the field of criminology and crime science, we observe that all but one of the examined studies employ inferential statistics without meeting the requirements for generalization. We identify a number of negative consequences of this, namely: wrongful suggestions of generalizability of the observed difference/effects; undervaluing of the observed difference/effects; and obscuring of observed difference/effects. We hypothesize three possible drivers of misuse of inferential statistics: uncritical application of statistical methods (aided by easy-to-use statistical packages); the need for greater generalizability and impact of research findings; and the need for normative judgements on observed differences. In response to these three identified contributing factors, we call for: a general caution of inferential approaches and subsequent revaluing of descriptive statistics when working with administrative police data, and the opening up of a debate around (the need for) making normative judgements. Furthermore, we echo the call of Gibbs et al – who diagnose similar problems in educational research – for academic (crime) journals to ‘adopt or revise standards to make the interpretation of inferential statistics and p-values, such as defining the intended inferred population, a required part of reporting in analytic methods sections’. 
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