Beating a dead horse: is there any basic empirical evidence for the deterrent effect of imprisonment?

Crime has declined over the past several years, renewing the belief that punishments such as imprisonment are useful mechanisms for deterring criminal activity. This article assesses this claim by examining data on U.S. crime and imprisonment trends from 1972 through 1993, a period that saw a contin...

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Autor principal: Lynch, Michael J. (Autor)
Tipo de documento: Electrónico Artículo
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 1999
En: Crime, law and social change
Año: 1999, Volumen: 31, Número: 4, Páginas: 347-362
Acceso en línea: Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
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Sumario:Crime has declined over the past several years, renewing the belief that punishments such as imprisonment are useful mechanisms for deterring criminal activity. This article assesses this claim by examining data on U.S. crime and imprisonment trends from 1972 through 1993, a period that saw a continuous increase in levels of incarceration. This period was purposefully chosen because it represents a "natural" experiment concerning the impact of continuous increases in the rate of incarceration on crime rates. A second analysis examining cross-sectional, state level data for the period 1980-1991 is also presented. The findings from these analyses indicate that sentiments concerning the deterrent effect of imprisonment are overstated, and there appears to be no statistically significant relationship between imprisonment rates and crime rates for the period and areas under study.
Notas:Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 361-362
ISSN:1573-0751
DOI:10.1023/A:1008328811104