Forecasting the prison population - predicting the consequences of sentencing policy
This paper describes the development of a new methodology for making ‘long’ term projections of the Prison Population. The methodology is based on a flow model of offenders in and out of prison, allowing the effect of changes in court sentencing policy to be predicted. The heart of the methodology i...
| Authors: | ; ; |
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| Format: | Electronic Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
1998
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| In: |
OR insight
Year: 1998, Volume: 11, Pages: 3-9 |
| Online Access: |
Volltext (lizenzpflichtig) |
| Journals Online & Print: | Drawer...
|
| Check availability: | HBZ Gateway |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Forecasting the prison population - predicting the consequences of sentencing policy |c Peter Grove, John Macleod & David Godfrey |
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| 520 | |a This paper describes the development of a new methodology for making ‘long’ term projections of the Prison Population. The methodology is based on a flow model of offenders in and out of prison, allowing the effect of changes in court sentencing policy to be predicted. The heart of the methodology is a new theory of offending, allowing the number of first time offenders to be predicted and also the recidivism of those released from prison. | ||
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| 787 | 0 | 8 | |i Forschungsdaten |a Großbritannien. Home Office |t Offenders index cohort data, 1953-1997 |d Colchester : UK Data Service, 2018 |w (DE-627)1871765854 |
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