Do US City Crime Rates Follow a National Trend? The Influence of Nationwide Conditions on Local Crime Patterns

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This study considers the degree to which the crime rates of US cities follow a uniform national trend. A nationwide trend has consequences for theories that explain aggregate changes in crime, but how closely subnational units hold to a common time path has received almost no research attention. Usi...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. VerfasserIn: McDowall, David (VerfasserIn)
Beteiligte: Loftin, Colin
Medienart: Elektronisch Aufsatz
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: 2009
In: Journal of quantitative criminology
Jahr: 2009, Band: 25, Heft: 3, Seiten: 307-324
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Schlagwörter:
Time Series Analysis
National crime rate
Crime trends
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:This study considers the degree to which the crime rates of US cities follow a uniform national trend. A nationwide trend has consequences for theories that explain aggregate changes in crime, but how closely subnational units hold to a common time path has received almost no research attention. Using annual panel data, the current study presents analyses that attempt to measure the correspondence between city-level and national-level crime rates. The results of each analysis are consistent with a clear single pattern that operates across the nation’s major urban areas. This supports the idea that a meaningful national trend exists, and it suggests the desirability of continuing efforts to explain it.
ISSN:1573-7799
DOI:10.1007/s10940-009-9071-0