Time Series Analysis of Crime Rates

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A methodological critique of Cantor and Land's (1985) approach to the time series analysis of the crime–unemployment relationship is developed. Error correction models for U.S. homicide and robbery rates for the years 1946–1997 are presented to illustrate procedures for analyzing nonstationary...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Greenberg, David F. 1942- (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 2001
In: Journal of quantitative criminology
Year: 2001, Volume: 17, Issue: 4, Pages: 291-327
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Keywords:
Cointegration
Divorce
Age
Unemployment
Crime
Time series
Description
Summary:A methodological critique of Cantor and Land's (1985) approach to the time series analysis of the crime–unemployment relationship is developed. Error correction models for U.S. homicide and robbery rates for the years 1946–1997 are presented to illustrate procedures for analyzing nonstationary time series data. The critique is followed by a discussion of methodological problems in work by Devine et al. (1988), Smith et al. (1992), and Britt (1994, 1997) that builds on Cantor and Land's approach.
ISSN:1573-7799
DOI:10.1023/A:1012507119569