Temporal regularities in homicide: Cycles, seasons, and autoregression

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It has long been assumed that there exists a relationship between crime (including homicide) and season. After discussing three analytic approaches to this problem (looking for seasonality, a general autoregressive process, and cycles), we review the literature and show that confusing and conflictin...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Ṭenenboim, Avraham N. (Autor)
Otros Autores: Fink, Edward L.
Tipo de documento: Electrónico Artículo
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 1994
En: Journal of quantitative criminology
Año: 1994, Volumen: 10, Número: 4, Páginas: 317-342
Acceso en línea: Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
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Palabras clave:
Seasonality
Homicide
cycle
Crime
annual
Descripción
Sumario:It has long been assumed that there exists a relationship between crime (including homicide) and season. After discussing three analytic approaches to this problem (looking for seasonality, a general autoregressive process, and cycles), we review the literature and show that confusing and conflicting findings have been reported about the temporal regularities of homicide. Employing monthly data from the Supplementary Homicide Reports (1976–1989), we find evidence for seasonality, autoregression, and cyclicality of homicide. Our modeling approaches clarify the previous conflicting research; implications for theory and future research are discussed.
ISSN:1573-7799
DOI:10.1007/BF02221279