Unemployment and the dynamics of offender populations

This paper models the increase in the participation rate of criminal behavior as either the initiation rate or the career length of criminals changes in response to increases in unemployment. Even with large instantaneous increases in unemployment, the models show a very slow increase in the crimina...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Collins, Mark F. (Author)
Contributors: Weatherburn, Don
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 1995
In: Journal of quantitative criminology
Year: 1995, Volume: 11, Issue: 3, Pages: 231-245
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Keywords:
Poisson model
Unemployment
career length
initiation rate
Description
Summary:This paper models the increase in the participation rate of criminal behavior as either the initiation rate or the career length of criminals changes in response to increases in unemployment. Even with large instantaneous increases in unemployment, the models show a very slow increase in the criminal participation rate, giving a possible explanation of the failure of many studies to demonstrate a link between unemployment and crime levels.
ISSN:1573-7799
DOI:10.1007/BF02221138