A test of the stability of punishment hypothesis: The Dutch case

This paper tests the hypothesis of the stability of punishment as developed by Blumstein and his associates against Dutch prison data. After summarizing the existing empirical evidence, Dutch prison data are presented pertaining to the average daily population in penal institutions, on the one hand,...

Full description

Saved in:  
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Fiselier, Jan P. S. (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 1992
In: Journal of quantitative criminology
Year: 1992, Volume: 8, Issue: 1, Pages: 133-151
Online Access: Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
Journals Online & Print:
Drawer...
Check availability: HBZ Gateway
Keywords:
error correction models
Time-series analysis
Crime and Punishment
punishment stability
Description
Summary:This paper tests the hypothesis of the stability of punishment as developed by Blumstein and his associates against Dutch prison data. After summarizing the existing empirical evidence, Dutch prison data are presented pertaining to the average daily population in penal institutions, on the one hand, and the number of admissions in these institutions, on the other hand. In three ways it is tested whether these data do support the hypothesis: regression analysis, Box-Jenkins analysis, and the analysis of a few dynamic models as presented by Berk et al. (1981). The paper ends with discussing Blumstein's hypothesis and considers the way research into the extent of the prison population should be continued.
ISSN:1573-7799
DOI:10.1007/BF01062763