Stochastic models for analyzing Criminal Careers

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The recent National Research Counci! Panel on Research on Criminal Careers (Blumstein et al. , 1986) identified the following as one of its items for future research: “... changes in the model [for analyzing criminal careers] are needed to reflect the consequences of the considerable heterogeneity i...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Copas, John B. (Author) ; Tarling, Roger (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 1988
In: Journal of quantitative criminology
Year: 1988, Volume: 4, Issue: 2, Pages: 173-186
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Keywords:
survival models
failure rate regression
stochastic models
Criminal Careers
Description
Summary:The recent National Research Counci! Panel on Research on Criminal Careers (Blumstein et al. , 1986) identified the following as one of its items for future research: “... changes in the model [for analyzing criminal careers] are needed to reflect the consequences of the considerable heterogeneity in the values of A.” This paper discusses the range of stochastic models available that take account of variations in A that occur during an individual offender's career, variations in A between different types of offenders, and both forms of variation simultaneously. Together these models are a flexible and powerful tool for studying criminal careers. For completeness, failure rate regression models are also briefly described.
ISSN:1573-7799
DOI:10.1007/BF01062872