The Development of the VP-SAFvR: An Actuarial Instrument for Police Triage of Australian Family Violence Reports
This study describes the rationale, development, and validation of the Victoria Police Screening Assessment for Family Violence Risk (VP-SAFvR). The actuarial instrument was developed on a sample of 24,446 Australian police reports from 2013-2014. Information from each report and criminal histories...
| Authors: | ; ; |
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| Format: | Electronic Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2019
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| In: |
Criminal justice and behavior
Year: 2019, Volume: 46, Issue: 4, Pages: 590-607 |
| Online Access: |
Volltext (Resolving-System) |
| Check availability: | HBZ Gateway |
| Keywords: |
| Summary: | This study describes the rationale, development, and validation of the Victoria Police Screening Assessment for Family Violence Risk (VP-SAFvR). The actuarial instrument was developed on a sample of 24,446 Australian police reports from 2013-2014. Information from each report and criminal histories of those involved were collected with 12-month follow-up, and binary logistic regression used to develop an improper predictive model. The selected VP-SAFvR cut-off score correctly identified almost three quarters of cases with further reports, while half of those without were accurately excluded. It was effective for frontline police triage decision-making, with few screened-out cases reporting further family violence, while those screened-in required additional risk assessment. Predictive validity was adequate and consistent across family relationships and demographic groups, although it was less effective in predicting future family violence reports involving same-sex couples or child perpetrators. Further evaluation in a field trial is necessary to determine the validity of the VP-SAFvR in practice. |
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| ISSN: | 1552-3594 |
| DOI: | 10.1177/0093854818806031 |
