Risk Assessment in Habitual Offenders With Substance Use Problems: A Quasi-Prospective Study of the Predictive Validity of the HKT-30

The predictive validity of the Dutch risk assessment instrument HKT-30 was investigated with a quasi-prospective design in a sample of habitual offenders with a substance use disorder (SUD). The study is reported according to RAGEE guidelines. The HKT-30 is an extension of the HCR-20. Files of 89 pa...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Lammers, Sylvia Margaretha (Author)
Contributors: Kokkelink, Lot ; Haan, Hein de
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 2018
In: International journal of offender therapy and comparative criminology
Online Access: Volltext (Resolving-System)
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Keywords:
Gefährlichkeitsbeurteilung
Gefährlichkeitsprognose
Gewohnheitstäter
HCR-20
HKT-30
Habitual offenders
Hangtäter
Quasi-prospective
Recidivism
Risikofaktoren
Risk assessment
Risk factors
Rückfälligkeit
Description
Summary:The predictive validity of the Dutch risk assessment instrument HKT-30 was investigated with a quasi-prospective design in a sample of habitual offenders with a substance use disorder (SUD). The study is reported according to RAGEE guidelines. The HKT-30 is an extension of the HCR-20. Files of 89 patients were coded and recidivism data were requested from the Ministry of Justice. Total scale scores and scores of the Clinical and Future scales were significantly predictive of recidivism for 1 and 2 years of time at risk, respectively. In contrast to earlier studies into recidivism, the H-scale had no predictive value. Regression analysis showed that the Clinical and Future scales contributed to the explanation of variance in recidivism, but not independently from each other. The conclusion is that the HKT-30 is a useful instrument for discovering risk factors and predicting recidivism for the population of habitual offenders with an SUD.
ISSN:1552-6933
DOI:10.1177/0306624X18757350