Reflections on Risk Analysis, Screening, and Contested Rationalities
The concept of risk and modelling it (imagining possible outcomes with negative consequences) has a long history in social science and crisis management. Risk lies in the shadow between the known and the unknown. This article reflects discussions of low-probability, high-cost events such as those re...
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| Format: | Print Article |
| Language: | English |
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2006
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| In: |
Canadian journal of criminology and criminal justice
Year: 2006, Volume: 48, Issue: 3, Pages: 453-469 |
| Journals Online & Print: | Drawer...
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| Check availability: | HBZ Gateway |
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| Summary: | The concept of risk and modelling it (imagining possible outcomes with negative consequences) has a long history in social science and crisis management. Risk lies in the shadow between the known and the unknown. This article reflects discussions of low-probability, high-cost events such as those reflected in the conventional tactics associated with terrorism. Risks and fear of them are shaped extraordinarily by 'big bang events' such as 9/11, and these shape imagined future deciding, prevention tactics, and organizational routines. Short-time crisis deciding is guided inordinately by 'group effects,' pressure for consensus, and action over cogitation, difference, and muddling through. The attraction of risk analysis to security matters is clear: It makes simple decisions that are not. It easily fits with the technological conceit that assumes electronic-computer-based surveillance, artifice, and models can reduce human judgement to questions easily answered by a computer with a database. It enables a front stage of statistical rational planning and execution of policies that fail but permit backstage manipulations, profit taking, and obfuscation of matters of human judgement. (English) [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
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| ISSN: | 1707-7753 |
