Crime seasonality: examining the temporal fluctuations of property crime in cities with varying climates

This study investigates whether crime patterns fluctuate periodically throughout the year using data containing different property crime types in two Canadian cities with differing climates. Using police report data, a series of ordinary least squares (OLS; Vancouver, British Columbia) and negative...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Linning, Shannon J. (Author) ; Andresen, Martin A. (Author) ; Brantingham, Paul J. (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 2017
In: International journal of offender therapy and comparative criminology
Year: 2017, Volume: 61, Issue: 16, Pages: 1866-1891
Online Access: Volltext (Verlag)
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Keywords:
Klima
Wetterverhältnisse
Wetterbedingter Verbrechensanstieg
Jahreszeit
Eigentumsdelikte
Crime seasonality
Climate
Weather
Property crime
Routine activities theory
Routine Activity Theorie
Description
Summary:This study investigates whether crime patterns fluctuate periodically throughout the year using data containing different property crime types in two Canadian cities with differing climates. Using police report data, a series of ordinary least squares (OLS; Vancouver, British Columbia) and negative binomial (Ottawa, Ontario) regressions were employed to examine the corresponding temporal patterns of property crime in Vancouver (2003-2013) and Ottawa (2006-2008). Moreover, both aggregate and disaggregate models were run to examine whether different weather and temporal variables had a distinctive impact on particular offences. Overall, results suggest that cities that experience greater variations in weather throughout the year have more distinct increases of property offences in the summer months and that different climate variables affect certain crime types, thus advocating for disaggregate analysis in the future.
ISSN:1552-6933
DOI:10.1177/0306624X16632259