Local variance in the crime drop: a longitudinal study of neighbourhoods in Greater Glasgow, Scotland

This paper reports on a novel longitudinal study of local variation in the decline of recorded crime in Greater Glasgow, United Kingdom. We deploy group trajectory analysis (exploring spatial autocorrelation with Local Moran’s I) and comparison of means to explore the underlying characteristics and...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bannister, Jon (Author)
Contributors: Bates, Ellie (Other) ; Kearns, Ade (Other)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 2018
In: The British journal of criminology
Year: 2018, Volume: 58, Issue: 1, Pages: 177–199
Online Access: Presumably Free Access
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Keywords:
Crime drop
Ecology of crime,
Group trajectory analysis
Kriminalitätsrate
Neighbourhoods
Rückgang
Trajektorienanalyse
Description
Summary:This paper reports on a novel longitudinal study of local variation in the decline of recorded crime in Greater Glasgow, United Kingdom. We deploy group trajectory analysis (exploring spatial autocorrelation with Local Moran’s I) and comparison of means to explore the underlying characteristics and trajectories of neighbourhoods over time. The research finds marked distinction in the level of crime and trajectories of different neighbourhood crime groups. Neighbourhood crime trajectories with high or low levels of crime exhibit spatial clustering and significant distinction in their characteristics. There is more limited spatial patterning, though still clear distinction between the characteristics of neighbourhood crime groups that exhibit different crime trajectories. We consider the research and policy implications of these findings.
ISSN:1464-3529
DOI:10.1093/bjc/azx022