Statistician’s Blues: a Methodological Critique of Measuring the Association between Police and Crime
Melanie S.S. Seabrook and colleagues (Police funding and crime rates in 20 of Canada’s largest municipalities: A longitudinal study, Canadian Public Policy 49(4) (2023): 383-98) have investigated the relationship between per capita police budgets and crime for 20 of Canada’s largest municipalities....
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| Format: | Electronic Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2024
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| In: |
Canadian journal of criminology and criminal justice
Year: 2024, Volume: 66, Issue: 2, Pages: 66-80 |
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Volltext (lizenzpflichtig) Volltext (lizenzpflichtig) |
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| 520 | |a Melanie S.S. Seabrook and colleagues (Police funding and crime rates in 20 of Canada’s largest municipalities: A longitudinal study, Canadian Public Policy 49(4) (2023): 383-98) have investigated the relationship between per capita police budgets and crime for 20 of Canada’s largest municipalities. The authors state that there is no consistent relationship between these two variables and question the utility of increased police spending. Their questioning of increased police spending is not necessarily unjustified, particularly given the expansive research that demonstrates that investing in prevention is far more cost effective. However, we scrutinize their data and methods to make such a claim. After reproducing their results, we use more appropriate data and methods to interrogate this relationship. We find support for an association between police officers per capita and lower crime but caution against any causal connection. We discuss the implications of this relationship, if present, and alternative ways to address crime and its prevention. | ||
| 520 | |a Melanie S.S. Seabrook et ses collègues (Police funding and crime rates in 20 of Canada’s largest municipalities: A longitudinal study, Analyses de politiques 49(4);2023:383–98) ont examiné le lien entre les budgets de maintien de l’ordre per capita et la criminalité dans vingt des plus grandes municipalités canadiennes. Selon les auteurs, il n’y a pas de lien uniforme entre ces deux variables et c’est pourquoi ils remettent en question l’utilité d’augmenter les dépenses de maintien de l’ordre. Cette remise en question n’est pas nécessairement injustifiée, particulièrement si l’on tient compte des vastes recherches selon lesquelles il est beaucoup plus rentable d’investir dans la prévention. Cependant, ils ont scruté leurs données et leur méthodologie pour poser une telle allégation. Après avoir reproduit leurs résultats, ils utilisent des données et des méthodologies plus appropriées pour examiner cette relation. Ils constatent un soutien envers l’association entre le nombre d’officiers de police per capita et une baisse de la criminalité, mais font une mise en garde à l’égard de tout lien causal. Ils traitent des conséquences de cette relation, s’il y a lieu, et des autres moyens d’aborder la criminalité et sa prévention. | ||
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