Deregulation of public civilian gun carrying and violent crimes: a longitudinal analysis 1981–2019

Research Summary We utilized the synthetic difference-in-difference method to estimate the impact of adopting a permitless concealed carry weapons (CCW) law on rates of assaults, robberies, and homicides committed with a firearm and by other means, as well as weapons arrests, from 1981 to 2019. We s...

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Authors: Doucette, Mitchell L. (Author) ; Crifasi, Cassandra (Author) ; McCourt, Alexander D. (Author) ; Ward, Julie A. (Author) ; Fix, Rebecca L. (Author) ; Webster, Daniel W. (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 2024
In: Criminology & public policy
Year: 2024, Volume: 23, Issue: 4, Pages: 833-861
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Summary:Research Summary We utilized the synthetic difference-in-difference method to estimate the impact of adopting a permitless concealed carry weapons (CCW) law on rates of assaults, robberies, and homicides committed with a firearm and by other means, as well as weapons arrests, from 1981 to 2019. We stratified permitless CCW laws by whether they previously prohibited violent misdemeanants from obtaining a CCW permit or previously required live firearm training to obtain a permit prior to law adoption. Findings robust to sensitivity analyses suggest that states that lost a training requirement to obtain a CCW permit had 21 additional gun assaults per 100,000 population (SE = 5.2) (32% increase). Policy Implications In the wake of the Supreme Court's decision in New York State Rifle & Pistol Association, Inc. v. Bruen, states should implement CCW permitting law provisions that may reduce the risk of firearm violence. Requiring live firearm training prior to carry a concealed weapon may attenuate negative health impacts of deregulation associated with permitless CCW laws.
ISSN:1745-9133
DOI:10.1111/1745-9133.12638