RT Article
T1 Unraveling the Sequences of Risk Factors Underlying the Development of Criminal Behavior
JF Journal of developmental and life-course criminology
VO 10
IS 2
SP 242
OP 264
A1 Basto-Pereira, Miguel
A2 Farrington, David 1944-
A2 Maciel, Laura
LA English
YR 2024
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1898366624
AB This work aims to investigate the role of sequences of risk factors from childhood to young adulthood in predicting subsequent criminal convictions. This study uses the Cambridge Study in Delinquent Development (CSDD) dataset, a prospective longitudinal research study that followed 411 males from South London from the age of 8 to 61 years. Temporal sequences of risk factors at ages 8–10, 12–14, and 16–18 were analyzed as predictors of subsequent criminal convictions up to the age of 61. Risk factors related to poverty, parenting problems, and children’s risk-taking predisposition at ages 8–10 emerged as prevalent starting points for the most highly predictive developmental sequences leading to convictions. The risk of a criminal conviction significantly increased if these risk factors were followed by low IQ scores or association with delinquent friends at ages 12–14, and by school and professional problems or drug addiction during late adolescence (ages 16–18). At each developmental stage, specific risk factors intricately combine to form chains of risk during development, subsequently predicting criminal convictions. A trajectory-of-risk-need-responsivity approach that identifies and breaks chains of risk factors that generate and enhance favorable conditions for criminal convictions is discussed.
K1 Crime Prevention
K1 Longitudinal
K1 risk factors
K1 Offending
K1 Sequences
DO 10.1007/s40865-024-00254-5