RT Article
T1 Bail prediction: exploring the role of neighborhood context in Philadelphia
JF Criminal justice and behavior
VO 42
IS 11
SP 1159
OP 1182
A1 Vîlcică, E. Rely
A2 Goldkamp, John S.
LA English
YR 2015
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/188508689X
AB The concurrent impact of individual and neighborhood effects on defendant pretrial performance has not been studied. This study asks whether there is neighborhood-level variation in defendants? failure to appear and pretrial crime and explores the impact of three neighborhood structural conditions (socioeconomic status, stability, and racial composition). The study was conducted in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on a 2005 sample of defendants (N = 800), followed for a year to record bail outcomes. Defendants? residences were geocoded within 45 neighborhoods. Census data were used for neighborhood structural characteristics. Multilevel analyses (hierarchical linear modeling) found no neighborhood variation. However, individual-level results indicate that a defendant?s neighborhood status and stability are negatively related to rearrest. Defendants from more affluent and stable neighborhoods are less likely to be rearrested for new crime. Although reliance on individual-level prediction at bail seems warranted, the study underscores the need to further explore the linkage between neighborhood conditions and pretrial outcomes.
K1 Philadelphia
K1 bail prediction
K1 individual and neighborhood effects
K1 multilevel methods
K1 Pretrial Release
DO 10.1177/0093854815599022