RT Article
T1 Changes in Risk Profiles: Latent Transition Analysis of Youth on Probation
JF Criminal justice and behavior
VO 50
IS 12
SP 1783
OP 1804
A1 Lee, JoAnn S.
A2 Appleton, Carl E.
A2 Stuart, Olivia K.
LA English
YR 2023
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1870817699
AB We use a person-centered approach to examine how patterns of risk and protective factors can change among youth on probation (N = 7,024). Data were collected using the Youth Assessment and Screening Instrument. We used latent transition analysis to identify distinct subgroups at intake and exit; estimated probabilities of moving between groups; and examined recidivism rates. We selected the model with five groups and found that the groups at intake and exit were similar. We characterized the groups in order of declining risk: Highest Risk, Social Drug Risk, Individual Risk, Drug Risk, and Low Risk. Youth were most likely to move out of the Highest Risk group and most likely to stay in the two lowest risk groups. Common transitions yielded improved recidivism rates. This knowledge can inform case plans that will increase young people’s likelihood of moving into a lower risk group, thereby improving recidivism rates.
K1 Dynamic risk
K1 Juvenile Justice
K1 Probation
K1 Risk assessment
K1 Youth
DO 10.1177/00938548231206537