RT Article
T1 Do oil price fluctuations influence criminal activity in energy rich regions?: evidence from California’s Central Valley
JF Crime, law and social change
VO 80
IS 3
SP 257
OP 286
A1 Michieka, Nyakundi M.
A2 Gearhart, Richard
LA English
YR 2023
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1859544428
AB This paper investigates whether shocks in oil prices affect the level of crime in Kern County, California’s top oil producing county. Monthly data from 2003 to 2018 is employed using a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model to test the asymmetric effects of these changes. Results for Kern County indicate that in the long-run, a negative shock in oil prices increases criminal activity while short-run oil price changes have no effect on criminal activity. Results from neighboring counties indicate that positive shocks to oil prices increase criminal activity in wealthy regions. Findings from generalized impulse response functions indicate that criminal activity in Los Angeles, Kings and San Bernardino Counties respond to shocks from Kern County’s crime rates. They also indicate that criminal activity in Inyo and Los Angeles Counties influence Kern County’s crime rate.
NO Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 284-286
K1 Central California
K1 Crime
K1 Oil prices
K1 Q43
K1 Spillover
DO 10.1007/s10611-023-10087-w