Do Some Dynamic Risk Factors Signal Imminent Recidivism? Testing the Conceptual Distinction Between Stable and Acute Dynamic Risk Factors

In correctional practice, acute and stable dynamic risk factors are conceptually distinct. This distinction, however, has limited empirical support. We suggest that when compared with stable factors, change in acute risk factors over short time periods should demonstrate a stronger association with...

Full description

Saved in:  
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Davies, Simon T. (Author)
Contributors: Lloyd, Caleb D. ; Polaschek, Devon L. L.
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 2023
In: Criminal justice and behavior
Year: 2023, Volume: 50, Issue: 8, Pages: 1120-1139
Online Access: Volltext (kostenfrei)
Journals Online & Print:
Drawer...
Check availability: HBZ Gateway
Keywords:

MARC

LEADER 00000caa a22000002 4500
001 1853011568
003 DE-627
005 20230720035459.0
007 cr uuu---uuuuu
008 230719s2023 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c
024 7 |a 10.1177/00938548231174903  |2 doi 
035 |a (DE-627)1853011568 
035 |a (DE-599)KXP1853011568 
040 |a DE-627  |b ger  |c DE-627  |e rda 
041 |a eng 
084 |a 2,1  |2 ssgn 
100 1 |a Davies, Simon T.  |e VerfasserIn  |4 aut 
245 1 0 |a Do Some Dynamic Risk Factors Signal Imminent Recidivism? Testing the Conceptual Distinction Between Stable and Acute Dynamic Risk Factors 
264 1 |c 2023 
336 |a Text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a Computermedien  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a Online-Ressource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
520 |a In correctional practice, acute and stable dynamic risk factors are conceptually distinct. This distinction, however, has limited empirical support. We suggest that when compared with stable factors, change in acute risk factors over short time periods should demonstrate a stronger association with imminent recidivism. Using a sample of high-risk New Zealand male parolees, we examined recidivism and change in scores on the Acute and Stable subscales from the Dynamic Risk Assessment for Offender Re-entry (DRAOR). Short-term acute change was more strongly associated with imminent recidivism than short-term stable change. Notably, Acute change predicted imminent recidivism even after controlling for the most current acute assessment. Furthermore, variability across Acute, but not Stable, subscale scores enhanced prediction of imminent recidivism. These findings support the largely untested theoretical distinction between stable and acute risk factors, and tentatively support using DRAOR’s Acute subscale to guide immediate intervention decisions. 
650 4 |a Risk assessment 
650 4 |a Recidivism 
650 4 |a Prediction 
650 4 |a Dynamic risk 
650 4 |a Community Corrections 
700 1 |a Lloyd, Caleb D.  |e VerfasserIn  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Polaschek, Devon L. L.  |e VerfasserIn  |0 (DE-588)1076298621  |0 (DE-627)834633442  |0 (DE-576)189549149  |4 aut 
773 0 8 |i Enthalten in  |t Criminal justice and behavior  |d Thousand Oaks, Calif. [u.a.] : Sage Publications, 1974  |g 50(2023), 8, Seite 1120-1139  |h Online-Ressource  |w (DE-627)306656345  |w (DE-600)1500128-3  |w (DE-576)081985487  |x 1552-3594  |7 nnns 
773 1 8 |g volume:50  |g year:2023  |g number:8  |g pages:1120-1139 
856 |u https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/00938548231174903  |x unpaywall  |z Vermutlich kostenfreier Zugang  |h publisher [open (via page says license)] 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1177/00938548231174903  |x Resolving-System  |z kostenfrei  |3 Volltext 
935 |a mkri 
936 u w |d 50  |j 2023  |e 8  |h 1120-1139 
951 |a AR 
ELC |a 1 
LOK |0 000 xxxxxcx a22 zn 4500 
LOK |0 001 4355060314 
LOK |0 003 DE-627 
LOK |0 004 1853011568 
LOK |0 005 20230719043605 
LOK |0 008 230719||||||||||||||||ger||||||| 
LOK |0 035   |a (DE-2619)KrimDok#2023-07-18#AD17EF821DBB178CDD69A545D6BCFCB5C9BA6E3E 
LOK |0 040   |a DE-2619  |c DE-627  |d DE-2619 
LOK |0 092   |o n 
LOK |0 852   |a DE-2619 
LOK |0 852 1  |9 00 
LOK |0 935   |a zota 
OAS |a 1 
ORI |a SA-MARC-krimdoka001.raw