The predictive and incremental validity of the German adaptation of the Static-2002 in a sexual offender sample released from the prison system
Purpose. The aim of this study was to examine the predictive validity of the German adaptation of the Static-2002 and to compare it with the results of the Static-99. Method. The predictive validity of Static-2002 was investigated in a sample of n = 452 sexual offenders released from the Austrian Pr...
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Contributors: | ; |
Format: | Electronic Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
2017
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In: |
Legal and criminological psychology
Year: 2017, Volume: 22, Issue: 1, Pages: 164-179 |
Online Access: |
Volltext (lizenzpflichtig) Volltext (lizenzpflichtig) |
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Check availability: | HBZ Gateway |
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Summary: | Purpose. The aim of this study was to examine the predictive validity of the German adaptation of the Static-2002 and to compare it with the results of the Static-99. Method. The predictive validity of Static-2002 was investigated in a sample of n = 452 sexual offenders released from the Austrian Prison System. The instrument was coded retrospectively using file information. Afterwards, the predictive estimates of the Static-2002 were related to officially documented reconviction data. Results. The Static-2002 was found to have large effect sizes for predicting sexual, violent, and general recidivism (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] = .78, .75, .75, respectively) for the total offender sample. For the general sexual offender sample, it did not predict reoffence significantly better than the Static-99 ([AUC] = .77, .72, and .72, respectively). However, the Static-2002 was found to perform better in the child molesters subsample (AUC = .83, .74, .75, respectively) than in rapists (AUC = .66, .72, .73, respectively), even though these differences did not reach statistical significance. The Static-2002 was found to have incremental predictive validity beyond the Static-99, but only for general and not for sexual or violent recidivism. Conclusions. Although a replacement of the Static-99 by the Static-2002 cannot be recommended, it has to be emphasized that the Static-2002 yielded large effect sizes in predicting general, violent, and sexual recidivism and, therefore, nevertheless represents an excellent measure for capturing the reoffence risk of sexual offenders. |
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Item Description: | Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 176-179 Gesehen am 26.05.2023 First published: 27 May 2015 |
ISSN: | 2044-8333 |
DOI: | 10.1111/lcrp.12080 |