A Model of Static and Dynamic Sex Offender Risk Assessment in Vermont, 2001-2010

Since 2001, Vermont Department of Corrections (DOC) sex offender treatment providers and probation and parole officers have scored every adult male sex offender under community supervision on three measures of static (unchangeable) risk at intake (i.e., Static-99, RRASOR-Rapid Risk Assessment for Se...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: McGrath, Robert J. (Author)
Contributors: Cumming, Georgia F. (Contributor) ; Lasher, Michael P. (Contributor)
Format: Electronic Research Data
Language:English
Published: [Erscheinungsort nicht ermittelbar] [Verlag nicht ermittelbar] 2014
In:Year: 2014
Online Access: Volltext (kostenfrei)
Check availability: HBZ Gateway
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520 |a Since 2001, Vermont Department of Corrections (DOC) sex offender treatment providers and probation and parole officers have scored every adult male sex offender under community supervision on three measures of static (unchangeable) risk at intake (i.e., Static-99, RRASOR-Rapid Risk Assessment for Sex Offence Recidivism, and VASOR-Vermont Assessment of Sex Offender Risk) and one measure of dynamic (changeable) risk (i.e, SOTNPS) at intake and then every six months thereafter. This project conducted record reviews to verify the accuracy of the risk assessment scores and examined how scores on the Sex Offender Treatment Needs and Progress Scale (SOTNPS) and one or more of these static risk instruments can be combined into an overall model of risk assessment. An empirically derived decision-making model was created to assist correctional administrators, probation and parole officers, and treatment providers in allocating and delivering supervision and treatment services based on an individual's treatment needs and risk to sexually re-offend. Three hypotheses were tested. First, it was expected that one or more static risk measures (Static-99R, Static-2002R and VASOR) would predict sexual recidivism with moderate accuracy in the sample. Second, a dynamic risk measure, Sex Offender Treatment Needs and Progress Scale (SOTNPS), or a subset of risk factors contained in this measure would also predict sexual recidivism with moderate accuracy and be sensitive to the changes in dynamic risk over time. Third, a combined static and dynamic risk measure would predict sexual recidivism more accurate than either measure alone. 
540 |a ICPSR Terms of Use 
650 4 |a Criminality 
650 4 |a Intervention 
650 4 |a Recidivism prediction 
650 4 |a Rehabilitation 
650 4 |a Risk assessment 
650 4 |a SEX offenders 
650 4 |a Treatment 
650 4 |a Violence 
655 7 |a Forschungsdaten  |0 (DE-588)1098579690  |0 (DE-627)857755366  |0 (DE-576)469182156  |2 gnd-content 
700 1 |a Cumming, Georgia F.  |e MitwirkendeR  |4 ctb 
700 1 |a Lasher, Michael P.  |e MitwirkendeR  |4 ctb 
787 0 8 |i Forschungsdaten zu  |a Concannon, Alison B.  |t Assessing Risk for Sexual Recidivism: How Inclusion of Psychologically Meaningful Risk Factors Can Improve Predictive Validity  |d [Erscheinungsort nicht ermittelbar] : University of Colorado, 2020  |w (DE-627)1912462796 
787 0 8 |i Forschungsdaten zu  |a Lasher, Michael P.  |t Desistance From Sexual and Other Violent Offending Among Child Sexual Abusers  |d 2017  |w (DE-627)1700572962 
787 0 8 |i Forschungsdaten zu  |a McGrath, Robert J., 1967 -   |t Development of Vermont Assessment of Sex Offender Risk-2 (VASOR-2) Reoffense Risk Scale  |d 2014  |w (DE-627)1912512874 
787 0 8 |i Forschungsdaten zu  |a McGrath, Robert J., 1967 -   |t A Model of Static and Dynamic Sex Offender Risk Assessment  |d [Erscheinungsort nicht ermittelbar] : Vermont Department of Corrections [producer], National Institute of Justice [distributor], 2011  |w (DE-627)1912624265 
787 0 8 |i Forschungsdaten zu  |a van den Berg, Jan  |t The predictive properties of dynamic sex offender risk assessment instruments: A meta-analysis  |d 2018  |w (DE-627)1912658860 
787 0 8 |i Forschungsdaten zu  |a Lasher, Michael P.  |t Sex offender modus operandi stability and relationship with actuarial risk assesment  |d 2015  |w (DE-627)1912700905 
787 0 8 |i Forschungsdaten zu  |a McGrath, Robert J., 1967 -   |t The Sex Offender Treatment Intervention and Progress Scale (SOTIPS): Psychometric properties and incremental predictive validity with Static-99R  |d 2012  |w (DE-627)1912701022 
787 0 8 |i Forschungsdaten zu  |a McGrath, Robert J., 1967 -   |t The Sex Offender Treatment Intervention and Progress Scale (SOTIPS): Revisions and Research Updates  |d [Erscheinungsort nicht ermittelbar] : Association for the Treatment of Sexual Abusers 30th Annual Research and Treatment Conference, 2011  |w (DE-627)1912701030 
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