RT Review
T1 Understanding contextual heterogeneity in the outcomes of large-scale security policies: evidence from Italy (2007-12)
JF Crime, law and social change
VO 77
IS 5
SP 529
OP 554
A1 Calaresu, Marco
A2 Triventi, Moris
LA English
YR 2022
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1824524102
AB We develop a theoretically informed quantitative evaluation of the large-scale policy of security pacts (SPs) in Italy (2007-2012). In particular, we show how Matland’s theoretical model of policy implementation (1995) may help clarify the contextual heterogeneity present in the outcomes of security policies. We build and use a macro-panel dataset in which we exploit variations in the temporal and geographic adoption of SPs to develop a dynamic analysis of the contextual factors that influence the probability of adopting a large-scale security policy at the sub-national government level. We apply a rigorous counterfactual design to assess the effectiveness of SPs in reducing theft and robbery rates. We find that the probability of adopting SPs is positively affected by coalitional strength but not political orientation. In contrast, the effectiveness of SPs in reducing crime relates more to the political orientation of the ruling parties than to coalitional strength.
NO Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 551-554
K1 Kriminalität
K1 Prävention
K1 Strategie
K1 Sicherheitsvorschrift
K1 Crime Prevention
K1 Policy adoption
K1 policy implementation
K1 Policy outcomes
K1 Security policies
K1 Italien
K1 Rezension
DO 10.1007/s10611-021-10007-w