Policía predictiva en España: aplicación y retos futuros = Predictive policing in Spain : implementation and future challenges
Public policy decisions must be based on rigorous data analysis carried out through scientific methods and procedures to avoid making decisions based on biased data or erroneous beliefs. The development of algorithms and predictive models applied to crime analysis has allowed the emergence of predic...
| VerfasserInnen: | ; ; |
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| Medienart: | Elektronisch Aufsatz |
| Sprache: | Spanisch |
| Veröffentlicht: |
2020
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| In: |
Behavior & Law Journal
Jahr: 2020, Band: 6, Heft: 1, Seiten: 26-41 |
| Online-Zugang: |
Volltext (kostenfrei) Volltext (kostenfrei) |
| Verfügbarkeit prüfen: | HBZ Gateway |
| Schlagwörter: |
MARC
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| 109 | |a González Álvarez, José Luis |a Álvarez, José Luis González | ||
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Policía predictiva en España |b aplicación y retos futuros = Predictive policing in Spain : implementation and future challenges |c José Luis González-Álvarez, Ph.D., Jorge Santos-Hermoso, M.Sc., Miguel Camacho-Collados, Ph.D. |
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| 520 | |a Public policy decisions must be based on rigorous data analysis carried out through scientific methods and procedures to avoid making decisions based on biased data or erroneous beliefs. The development of algorithms and predictive models applied to crime analysis has allowed the emergence of predictive police, which analyzes a large amount of historical crime data to identify patterns and estimate the probability of future crimes, and to help a clarification of past crimes. Predictive policing has made it possible for the police forces to strengthen the preventive approach over the reactive approach. The current study explains some of the implementations of predictive policing in Spain. The advances in the areas of gender-based violence and homicide will be analyzed in detail. The main objective is to summarize the studies that have been developed in recent years and the limitations and benefits of predictive methodologies. | ||
| 520 | |a Las decisiones en materia de políticas públicas deben estar basadas en el análisis riguroso de los datos efectuado a través de métodos y procedimientos científicos, para evitar tomar decisiones basadas en datos sesgados o creencias erróneas. El desarrollo de algoritmos y modelos predictivos aplicados al análisis del crimen, ha permitido la aparición de la policía predictiva, que analiza una gran cantidad de datos históricos de criminalidad para identificar patrones y estimar la probabilidad de que sucedan crímenes en el futuro, y para ayudar a esclarecer crímenes pasados. Esto ha hecho posible que desde los cuerpos policiales se potencie el enfoque preventivo frente al enfoque reactivo. A lo largo de este trabajo se expondrán algunas de las principales aplicaciones de la policía predictiva en España, y se analizarán en detalle los avances en los ámbitos de la Violencia de Género y el homicidio. El objetivo principal es resumir los principales estudios que se han desarrollado en los últimos años, destacar algunas de las limitaciones que puede tener la aplicación de este tipo de metodologías, y sobre todo señalar los beneficios que puede reportar la aplicación de modelos predictivos en la gestión de los recursos policiales. | ||
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