RT Article
T1 Predictive Validity of the Static-99R in Romania
JF Criminal justice and behavior
VO 49
IS 9
SP 1276
OP 1294
A1 Toma, Roxana Andreea
A2 Kube, Silvia
A2 Hurezan, Liliana
A2 Banse, Rainer
LA English
YR 2022
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/181416295X
AB Empirical actuarial measures are significantly more accurate than unstructured clinical judgments in predicting recidivism risk of incarcerated populations across different cultures. In a retrospective study, we examined the predictive validity of the Static-99R, the actuarial measure most used around the world for assessing the recidivism risk of persons who committed a sexual offense (PCS), in a sample of 518 male PCS in Romania. The results showed a good predictive validity for any kind of recidivism (area under the curve [AUC] = .70) and a slightly lower predictive accuracy for violent (AUC = .69) and sexual recidivism (AUC = .67). Effect sizes and the predictive validity of the single items of the Static-99R have also been examined. In addition, the predicted rates of reconviction have been compared with the observed rates. The Romanian version of the Static-99R has been shown as a valid, useful tool to predict sexual, violent, and general recidivism for Romanian PCS.
K1 Risk assessment
K1 person who committed a sexual offense
K1 Recidivism
K1 Predictive Validity
K1 Static-99R
DO 10.1177/00938548221107875