RT Article
T1 Predictive Validity of the Static-99R in Romania
JF Criminal justice and behavior
VO 49
IS 9
SP 1276
OP 1294
A1 Toma, Roxana Andreea
A1 Kube, Silvia
A1 Hurezan, Liliana
A1 Banse, Rainer
A2 Kube, Silvia
A2 Hurezan, Liliana
A2 Banse, Rainer
LA English
YR 2022
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/181416295X
AB Empirical actuarial measures are significantly more accurate than unstructured clinical judgments in predicting recidivism risk of incarcerated populations across different cultures. In a retrospective study, we examined the predictive validity of the Static-99R, the actuarial measure most used around the world for assessing the recidivism risk of persons who committed a sexual offense (PCS), in a sample of 518 male PCS in Romania. The results showed a good predictive validity for any kind of recidivism (area under the curve [AUC] = .70) and a slightly lower predictive accuracy for violent (AUC = .69) and sexual recidivism (AUC = .67). Effect sizes and the predictive validity of the single items of the Static-99R have also been examined. In addition, the predicted rates of reconviction have been compared with the observed rates. The Romanian version of the Static-99R has been shown as a valid, useful tool to predict sexual, violent, and general recidivism for Romanian PCS.
K1 Risk assessment
K1 person who committed a sexual offense
K1 Recidivism
K1 Predictive Validity
K1 Static-99R
DO 10.1177/00938548221107875