RT Article
T1 Evaluation of the Predictive Validity of a Risk-Need-Responsivity Assessment Tool (RNR-A) in the Swedish Prison and Probation Service
JF The prison journal
VO 102
IS 3
SP 367
OP 390
A1 Bäckström, Peter Johansson
A1 Danielsson, Maria
A1 Starfelt Sutton, Louise C.
A1 Andersson, Dan
A2 Danielsson, Maria
A2 Starfelt Sutton, Louise C.
A2 Andersson, Dan
LA English
YR 2022
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1804478652
AB To appraise the “real-world” implementation of the risk principle, this study examined the predictive validity of a Risk-Need-Responsivity assessment in the Swedish Prison and Probation Service. Reconviction rates at 24 months follow-up in a cohort of 2,442 offenders were used to assess calibration and discrimination indices. Results indicated acceptable predictive accuracy (AUC = .68–.74), with scope for improvement among young adult offenders. The tool's utility was supported foremost by its ability to screen out low-risk offenders, while over-prediction of recidivism among medium- and high-risk offenders calls for more comprehensive assessment to inform the effective planning of rehabilitative service intensity.
K1 Recidivism
K1 Sweden
K1 Predictive Validity
K1 Risk-need-responsivity
K1 Risk assessment
DO 10.1177/00328855221095561