RT Article
T1 Elevated police turnover following the summer of George Floyd protests: a synthetic control study
JF Criminology & public policy
VO 21
IS 1
SP 9
OP 33
A1 Mourtgos, Scott M.
A1 Adams, Ian T.
A2 Adams, Ian T.
A2 Nix, Justin
LA English
YR 2022
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1797127039
AB Several of the largest U.S. police departments reported a sharp increase in officer resignations following massive public protests directed at policing in the summer of 2020. Yet, to date, no study has rigorously assessed the impact of the George Floyd protests on police resignations. We fill this void using 60 months of employment data from a large police department in the western United States. Bayesian structural time-series modeling shows that voluntary resignations increased by 279% relative to the synthetic control, and the model predicts that resignations will continue at an elevated level. However, retirements and involuntary separations were not significantly affected during the study period.
K1 Bayesian structural time series
K1 Protests
K1 Floyd, George
K1 Police resignations
K1 Police turnover
DO 10.1111/1745-9133.12556