RT Article
T1 Situational Predictors of Negotiation and Violence in Hostage and Barricade Incidents
JF Criminal justice and behavior
VO 48
IS 12
SP 1770
OP 1787
A1 Neller, Daniel J.
A2 Healy, Timothy C.
A2 Dao, Tam K.
A2 Meyer, Shannon
A2 Barefoot, Danielle B.
LA English
YR 2021
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1774531887
AB We analyzed a data set containing 7,216 hostage and barricade incidents that had been reported to the Federal Bureau of Investigation over a 35-year period. From two subsamples of the data set, we identified potential predictors of important outcomes—resolution by negotiation or surrender and violence after onset. In a third subsample, we combined and weighted the potential predictors to form two actuarial tools. We used three additional subsamples in the data set to cross-validate and calibrate the scores of each tool. Predictive validity was acceptable across all subsamples.
K1 HOBAS
K1 Risk assessment
K1 Violence prediction
K1 Negotiation
K1 Crisis
K1 barricade
K1 hostage
DO 10.1177/00938548211017926