RT Article
T1 Examining the Predictive Validity of the Public Safety Assessment
JF Criminal justice and behavior
VO 48
IS 10
SP 1431
OP 1449
A1 Brittain, Brian J.
A1 Georges, Leah
A1 Martin, Jim
A2 Georges, Leah
A2 Martin, Jim
LA English
YR 2021
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1768385211
AB The purpose of this study was to examine the predictive validity of the Public Safety Assessment (PSA), an actuarial pretrial assessment instrument, administered to 15,931 individuals in Volusia County, Florida, between 2016 and 2017. A series of logistic regression models analyzed the influence of the PSA’s risk scores for Failure to Appear (FTA) and New Criminal Activity (NCA), as well as gender, race, and the length of time spent in pretrial custody on incidents of failure to appear and new pretrial arrest. The findings suggest that while both the FTA and NCA scales predicted pretrial failure fairly well, the variation explained by the models suggest that there is much that we do not understand about predicting pretrial failure to appear and new pretrial arrest, indicating the need for further research and refinement of pretrial assessment instruments.
K1 Public Safety Assessment
K1 Pretrial risk assessment
K1 actuarial risk assessment
DO 10.1177/00938548211005836