RT Article
T1 Predicting pretrial misconduct with drug tests of arrestees: Evidence from eight settings
JF Journal of quantitative criminology
VO 12
IS 3
SP 315
OP 348
A1 Rhodes, William
A2 Hyatt, Raymond
A2 Scheiman, Paul
LA English
YR 1996
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/176428013X
AB Identifying defendants at high risk of pretrial misconduct is a major problem for the judiciary. Currently, some have argued that testing arrestees for recent drug use is one way to distinguish between those who will and those who will not commit pretrial misconduct. The research reported here questions whether the incremental predictive power resulting from drug testing always improves predictions of pretrial misconduct. Using survival analysis to study time until rearrest and a probit model to analyze the occurrence of a failure to appear, we show that urine test results have no consistent power to predict pretrial misconduct after accounting for defendant's criminal records, community ties, and other factors commonly known by the court. These results are based on our analysis of eight data sets from different locales, time periods, and age groups.
K1 Selection Bias
K1 unmeasured heterogeneity
K1 Survival Analysis
K1 Drug Testing
K1 Pretrial misconduct
DO 10.1007/BF02354422