RT Article
T1 Selectively Incapacitating Frequent Offenders: Costs and Benefits of Various Penal Scenarios
JF Journal of quantitative criminology
VO 23
IS 4
SP 327
OP 353
A1 Blokland, Arie Aart Jan 1973-
A2 Nieuwbeerta, Paul 1964-
LA English
YR 2007
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1764280075
AB A small number of offenders are responsible for a disproportionate share of total crime. Policy makers have been seeking to reduce crime more efficiently by targeting corrections at these frequent offenders. Thus far, both macro- and micro-level research have yielded mixed results regarding the effects of these kinds of selective policies. The current study uses data from the Netherlands Criminal Career and Life-course Study to estimate the incapacitative effects of alternative selective prison policies. Using the rolling cohorts method, implementations of various penal scenarios differing in selection rate, sentence disparity and selective accuracy are simulated. Results show that it is hard for selective policies to yield a positive societal result: costs of imprisonment typically exceed benefits gained from crimes prevented.
K1 Cost-benefit analysis
K1 Rolling-cohorts
K1 Frequent offenders
K1 Selective Incapacitation
DO 10.1007/s10940-007-9033-3