Projecting crime rates: An age, period, and cohort model using ARIMA techniques

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The object of this paper is to generate forecasts of U.S. index property and violent crimes. A three-step procedure is employed. First, the age-specific crime rates are decomposed into age, period, and cohort effects. Then the period and cohort effects are characterized using regression and transfer...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Klepinger, Daniel H. (Author) ; Weis, Joseph G. (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 1985
In: Journal of quantitative criminology
Year: 1985, Volume: 1, Issue: 4, Pages: 387-416
Online Access: Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
Check availability: HBZ Gateway
Keywords:
Cohort
Crime
Projections
Forecasts
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