Projecting crime rates: An age, period, and cohort model using ARIMA techniques
The object of this paper is to generate forecasts of U.S. index property and violent crimes. A three-step procedure is employed. First, the age-specific crime rates are decomposed into age, period, and cohort effects. Then the period and cohort effects are characterized using regression and transfer...
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Format: | Electronic Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
1985
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In: |
Journal of quantitative criminology
Year: 1985, Volume: 1, Issue: 4, Pages: 387-416 |
Online Access: |
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Check availability: | HBZ Gateway |
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