Projecting crime rates: An age, period, and cohort model using ARIMA techniques
The object of this paper is to generate forecasts of U.S. index property and violent crimes. A three-step procedure is employed. First, the age-specific crime rates are decomposed into age, period, and cohort effects. Then the period and cohort effects are characterized using regression and transfer...
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| Tipo de documento: | Electrónico Artículo |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
1985
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| En: |
Journal of quantitative criminology
Año: 1985, Volumen: 1, Número: 4, Páginas: 387-416 |
| Acceso en línea: |
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