RT Article
T1 Unemployment, Economic Theory, and Property Crime: A Note on Measurement
JF Journal of quantitative criminology
VO 16
IS 4
SP 443
OP 455
A1 Chamlin, Mitchell B.
A2 Cochran, John K.
LA English
YR 2000
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1764276922
AB Drawing on rational choice theory, this study considers how best to measureunemployment within the context of the unemployment–property crimerelationship. Specifically, we use ARIMA techniques to examine the relativeefficacy of using the conventional Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)unemployment rate and two alternative measures of the demand for labor aspredictors of monthly counts of U.S. property offenses for the years 1982through 1996. The bivariate time series analyses indicate that while theBLS unemployment rate exhibits null effects, the number of individualsunemployed for 15 weeks or more and the capacity utilization ratesignificantly affect the level of property crime. The implications ofthese results are discussed.
K1 Operationalization
K1 ARIMA
K1 Property Crime
K1 Unemployment
DO 10.1023/A:1007599232183