RT Article
T1 Measuring the Convergence/Divergence of “Serious Crime” Arrest Rates for Males and Females: 1960–1995
JF Journal of quantitative criminology
VO 15
IS 1
SP 97
OP 114
A1 O'Brien, Robert M.
LA English
YR 1999
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1764275632
AB It is now almost a quarter of a century since Adler (1975) and Simon (1975)stimulated a debate about the convergence of crime rates for men andwomen. The ensuing debate generated literally dozens of papers. Given theexistence of a series that now extends from 1960 to 1995, this papersuggests an appropriate way to examine the convergence hypothesis usingtime series techniques. These techniques take into consideration the effectsof the following factors: (a) random “shocks” or“innovations,” (b) the potentially lasting effects of suchinnovations, and (c) the autocorrelation that time series oftenexhibit. Using time series techniques on annual data, we examine trends inthe arrest rates for males and females for six Part I crimes (homicide,robbery, aggravated assault, burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft)for the years 1960 through 1995. We test for convergence, divergence, notrend, and a special condition of equilibrium between series called cointegration .
K1 time series methods
K1 male–female arrest rates
K1 convergence hypothesis
DO 10.1023/A:1007518326031