Early Warning System for Temporary Crime Hot Spots
Objectives We investigate the potential for preventing crimes at temporary hot spots in addition to chronic hot spots. Using data on serious violent crimes from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, we investigate an early warning system (EWS) for starting/stopping police deployments at temporary hot spots in c...
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Contributors: | |
| Format: | Electronic Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2015
|
| In: |
Journal of quantitative criminology
Year: 2015, Volume: 31, Issue: 1, Pages: 25-47 |
| Online Access: |
Volltext (lizenzpflichtig) Volltext (lizenzpflichtig) |
| Journals Online & Print: | Drawer...
|
| Check availability: | HBZ Gateway |
| Keywords: |
MARC
| LEADER | 00000caa a22000002c 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | 1764275497 | ||
| 003 | DE-627 | ||
| 005 | 20250323030912.0 | ||
| 007 | cr uuu---uuuuu | ||
| 008 | 210725s2015 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c | ||
| 024 | 7 | |a 10.1007/s10940-014-9223-8 |2 doi | |
| 035 | |a (DE-627)1764275497 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)KXP1764275497 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-627 |b ger |c DE-627 |e rda | ||
| 041 | |a eng | ||
| 084 | |a 2,1 |2 ssgn | ||
| 100 | 1 | |8 1\p |a Gorr, Wilpen L. |d 1944- |e VerfasserIn |0 (DE-588)170184293 |0 (DE-627)060234369 |0 (DE-576)131089293 |4 aut | |
| 109 | |a Gorr, Wilpen L. 1944- |a Gorr, Wilpen 1944- |a Gorr, W. L. 1944- |a Gorr, W. 1944- |a Gorr, Wil 1944- |a Gorr, Wilpen Lewis 1944- |a Lewis Gorr, Wilpen 1944- | ||
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Early Warning System for Temporary Crime Hot Spots |
| 264 | 1 | |c 2015 | |
| 336 | |a Text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |a Computermedien |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |a Online-Ressource |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 520 | |a Objectives We investigate the potential for preventing crimes at temporary hot spots in addition to chronic hot spots. Using data on serious violent crimes from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, we investigate an early warning system (EWS) for starting/stopping police deployments at temporary hot spots in coordination with constant prevention work at chronic hot spots. Methods We estimate chronic hot spots using kernel density smoothing. We use simple rules for detecting flare-ups of temporary hot spots, predicting their persistence, deploying police, and stopping deployments. We also consider a combination program including the hottest chronic hot spots, with EWS applied to remaining areas. Using 2000–2010 data, we run computational experiments varying the size of chronic hot spots and varying rule thresholds to tune the EWS. Tradeoff curves with percentage of crimes exposed to prevention versus percentage area of the city with crime prevention workload provide tools for coordinating chronic and temporary hot spot programs. Results The combination program is the most efficient, equitable, and responsive program. After first allocating police prevention resources to the hottest chronic hot spots, the marginal benefits of adding more chronic hot spot area is not as high as adding temporary hot spots. Chronic hot spots are limited to large commercial and adjoining residential areas. Temporary hot spots are widely scattered throughout Pittsburgh. Conclusions Temporary hot spots exist outside of chronic hot spots and are targets for prevention as supplements to chronic hot spots. A combination program targeting both chronic and temporary hot spots is recommended. | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Early warning system | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Police deployment | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Crime Prevention | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Hot Spots | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Lee, YongJei |e VerfasserIn |4 aut | |
| 773 | 0 | 8 | |i Enthalten in |t Journal of quantitative criminology |d New York, NY [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V., 1985 |g 31(2015), 1, Seite 25-47 |h Online-Ressource |w (DE-627)320578003 |w (DE-600)2017241-2 |w (DE-576)104082321 |x 1573-7799 |7 nnas |
| 773 | 1 | 8 | |g volume:31 |g year:2015 |g number:1 |g pages:25-47 |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-014-9223-8 |x Resolving-System |z lizenzpflichtig |3 Volltext |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u http://link.springer.com/openurl/fulltext?id=doi:10.1007/s10940-014-9223-8 |x Verlag |z lizenzpflichtig |3 Volltext |
| 883 | |8 1 |a cgwrk |d 20250301 |q DE-101 |u https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk | ||
| 935 | |a mkri | ||
| 951 | |a AR | ||
| ELC | |a 1 | ||
| LOK | |0 000 xxxxxcx a22 zn 4500 | ||
| LOK | |0 001 3957448352 | ||
| LOK | |0 003 DE-627 | ||
| LOK | |0 004 1764275497 | ||
| LOK | |0 005 20210725061639 | ||
| LOK | |0 008 210725||||||||||||||||ger||||||| | ||
| LOK | |0 035 |a (DE-2619)KrimDok#2021-07-24#A79F200CF99AF10427DD1268427540EA8F942344 | ||
| LOK | |0 040 |a DE-2619 |c DE-627 |d DE-2619 | ||
| LOK | |0 092 |o n | ||
| LOK | |0 852 |a DE-2619 | ||
| LOK | |0 852 1 |9 00 | ||
| LOK | |0 935 |a zota | ||
| ORI | |a SA-MARC-krimdoka001.raw | ||