The Implication of Terrorism’s Extremely Low Base Rate

A robust empirical finding is that global neojihadi terrorism is extremely rare in Western countries compared to other kinds of violence. Its base rate in the West is about 3 new global neojihadis per 100 million people per year. Bayesian conditional probability shows that this extremely low base ra...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Sageman, Marc (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 2021
In: Terrorism and political violence
Year: 2021, Volume: 33, Issue: 2, Pages: 302-311
Online Access: Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
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