RT Article
T1 Predicting Juvenile Reentry Success: Developing a Global Risk Score and Risk Classification Levels Using the Residential Positive Achievement Change Tool
JF Youth violence and juvenile justice
VO 17
IS 3
SP 241
OP 268
A1 Baglivio, Michael T.
A2 Wolff, Kevin T.
LA English
YR 2019
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1744867674
AB Recent decades have seen the proliferation of risk assessment implementation and, subsequently, validation studies. Most assessments are used at the front end, at arrest or postdisposition for juvenile offenders. The current study develops an overall risk score and risk classification levels from a tool developed specifically for use with youth within residential placement in efforts to predict reentry success. A diverse, 4-year statewide sample of serious juvenile offenders (N = 15,078) is examined. The total risk score and classification schematic development are outlined, predictive validity assessed, and the ability of the classification to partition youth into meaningful subgroups of overall risk to reoffend analyzed. Results show predictive validity on par with prominent juvenile tools, which is noteworthy given the sample exclusivity: serious offenders in residential placement. Further, the tool classifies youth into five distinct groups with meaningful dispersion across groups with differing recidivism base rates. Implications for juvenile reentry are discussed.
K1 Juvenile Offenders
K1 Recidivism
K1 Reentry
K1 Risk Assessment
DO 10.1177/1541204018804870