RT Article
T1 Next generation assessment technology: the potential and pitfalls of integrating individual and community risk assessment
JF Probation journal
VO 64
IS 3
SP 242
OP 255
A1 Byrne, James M. 1954-
A2 Pattavina, April
LA English
YR 2017
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1733609466
AB The recent inclusion of community-level risk variables in (some) fourth generation risk assessment instruments, ostensibly to make more accurate individual-level predictions of the likelihood of reoffending among the populations of probationers and parolees under community supervision, is examined in the following review. This development raises a thorny issue: what if the price of improved predictive accuracy is increased gender, race, or class-based disparity? Our review underscores the problems (conceptualization and measurement related) inherent in combining individual risk variables with community-level risk variables in order to assess an offender’s risk for re-offending during a specified follow-up period. In recognition of the likely disparity that will result from the conflation of neighborhood risk into individual risk assessments, we suggest an alternative: conduct a separate neighborhood risk assessment that can be used to simultaneously develop (1) a community-based treatment plan for individual offenders and (2) a resource development plan identifying and addressing service shortfalls and other risk factors in the neighborhoods where offenders reside.
K1 Community safety
K1 Corrections
K1 Evidence-based practice
K1 Probation
K1 Recidivism
K1 Risk assessment
DO 10.1177/0264550517720851