Impact Evaluation of a Parolee-Based Focused Deterrence Program on Community-Level Violence
We estimate the impact of a parolee-based focused deterrence (“pulling levers”) intervention on community-level firearm and non-firearm violence in Rockford, Illinois, via a retrospective, quasi-experimental design. Focusing on incidents of firearm violence in Rockford over a period of 60 months (38...
| Authors: | ; ; |
|---|---|
| Format: | Electronic Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2019
|
| In: |
Criminal justice policy review
Year: 2019, Volume: 30, Issue: 9, Pages: 1408-1430 |
| Online Access: |
Volltext (Resolving-System) |
| Journals Online & Print: | Drawer...
|
| Check availability: | HBZ Gateway |
| Keywords: |
MARC
| LEADER | 00000naa a22000002 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | 1727148320 | ||
| 003 | DE-627 | ||
| 005 | 20200817114609.0 | ||
| 007 | cr uuu---uuuuu | ||
| 008 | 200817s2019 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c | ||
| 024 | 7 | |a 10.1177/0887403418812999 |2 doi | |
| 035 | |a (DE-627)1727148320 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)KXP1727148320 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-627 |b ger |c DE-627 |e rda | ||
| 041 | |a eng | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Clark-Moorman, Kyleigh |e VerfasserIn |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Impact Evaluation of a Parolee-Based Focused Deterrence Program on Community-Level Violence |
| 264 | 1 | |c 2019 | |
| 336 | |a Text |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |a Computermedien |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |a Online-Ressource |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 520 | |a We estimate the impact of a parolee-based focused deterrence (“pulling levers”) intervention on community-level firearm and non-firearm violence in Rockford, Illinois, via a retrospective, quasi-experimental design. Focusing on incidents of firearm violence in Rockford over a period of 60 months (38 months pre-intervention, 22 months post-intervention), program impact is assessed using Bayesian Structural Time Series (BSTS) models, constructing a synthetic control-based counterfactual time series from National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) data from 59 non-treated cities of similar size. Relative to the synthetic control counterfactual, the intervention was associated with significant reductions in both firearm and non-firearm violence, particularly robberies, ranging from 6% to 30%. Consistent with research at other sites, these findings support the notion that focused deterrence strategies centered on high-risk parolees may result in reductions in firearm violence at the community level. The BSTS approach is a useful application for producing counterfactuals in retrospective quasi-experimental impact evaluations. | ||
| 700 | 1 | |a McGarrell, Edmund F. |e VerfasserIn |4 aut | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Rydberg, Jason |e VerfasserIn |0 (DE-588)1211428044 |0 (DE-627)1699326010 |0 (DE-576)341170518 |4 aut | |
| 773 | 0 | 8 | |i Enthalten in |t Criminal justice policy review |d London : Sage, 1986 |g 30(2019), 9, Seite 1408-1430 |h Online-Ressource |w (DE-627)33150796X |w (DE-600)2051883-3 |w (DE-576)094502471 |x 1552-3586 |7 nnns |
| 773 | 1 | 8 | |g volume:30 |g year:2019 |g number:9 |g pages:1408-1430 |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0887403418812999 |x Resolving-System |3 Volltext |
| 951 | |a AR | ||
| ELC | |a 1 | ||
| LOK | |0 000 xxxxxcx a22 zn 4500 | ||
| LOK | |0 001 3740488905 | ||
| LOK | |0 003 DE-627 | ||
| LOK | |0 004 1727148320 | ||
| LOK | |0 005 20200817114223 | ||
| LOK | |0 008 200817||||||||||||||||ger||||||| | ||
| LOK | |0 040 |a DE-21-110 |c DE-627 |d DE-21-110 | ||
| LOK | |0 092 |o n | ||
| LOK | |0 689 |a s |a Focused deterrence | ||
| LOK | |0 689 |a s |a Pulling levers intervention | ||
| LOK | |0 689 |a s |a Quasi-experimental design | ||
| LOK | |0 689 |a s |a Bayesian Structural Time Series (BSTS) | ||
| LOK | |0 852 |a DE-21-110 | ||
| LOK | |0 852 1 |9 00 | ||
| LOK | |0 935 |a krub |a krzo | ||
| ORI | |a SA-MARC-krimdoka001.raw | ||