RT Article
T1 Reshaping the Study of Recidivism: Exploring Variations in the Timing of Recidivism Following Release From Prison:
JF Criminal justice policy review
VO 30
IS 4
SP 565
OP 596
A1 Denver, Megan
LA English
YR 2019
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1726767892
AB While hazard analyses allow researchers to identify distributional changes over time, this powerful benefit is often underutilized. This article incorporates the shape parameter—in addition to level—into lognormal hazard models to examine recidivism patterns for individuals returning home from prison. Using a sample of adults released in 1994 from 15 state prison facilities, the results indicate that factors influencing the shape are both individual-level (race, age, prior arrest history) and jurisdiction-driven (prison admission type and state). While targeting the highest “risk” individuals is a well-established best practice, the present study suggests that reentry planners may benefit from focusing on groups undergoing change in the postrelease period in addition to those experiencing the highest hazard levels on average. Future research would benefit from incorporating the shape parameter into recidivism studies and including additional factors in shape analyses, such as social indicators, to further contextualize the reentry-recidivism relationship.
K1 Reentry
K1 Recidivism
K1 Criminal justice policy
K1 Lognormal hazards
K1 Shape
DO 10.1177/0887403416680018