RT Article
T1 Infectious burglaries. A test of the near repeat hypothesis
JF The British journal of criminology
VO 43
IS 3
SP 615
OP 633
A1 Townsley, Michael
A1 Homel, Ross
A1 Chaseling, Janet
A2 Homel, Ross
A2 Chaseling, Janet
LA English
YR 2003
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1640119892
AB This paper explores one aspect of spatial dependence for the offence of burglary, utilising epidemiological methods for the study of infectious diseases to investigate the phenomenon of near repeat victimization. The near repeat burglary hypothesis states that proximity to a burgled dwelling increases burglary risk for those areas that have a high degree of housing homogeneity and that this risk is similar in nature to the temporarily heightened risk of becoming a repeat victim after an initial victimization. The near repeat hypothesis was tested on 34 months of police recorded burglary data across a high crime area of Brisbane, Australia. Near repeats were shown to exist in the study area, mainly in suburbs containing homogeneous housing. Little or no housing diversity, in terms of the type of physical construction and general appearance of dwellings, serves to restrict the extent of repeat victimization. Housing diversity allows offenders a choice of targets, and favoured targets will be revisited' by burglars. Near identical targets usually present no motive for an offender to favour one property over another. Thus in areas with low housing diversity, victim prevalence should be higher than in areas with heterogeneous housing
K1 Einbruch
K1 Kriminalgeographie
K1 Wohngegend