Childhood predictors of offenxse trajectories

Previous research has shown heterogeneity in offense trajectories. Using data from the Seattle Social Development Project, a longitudinal study of 808 youths followed since 1985, this study seeks to identify childhood predictors of different offense trajectories. Five offense trajectories were ident...

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Bibliographic Details
Contributors: Hawkins, J. David (Other) ; Gilchrist, Lewayne D. (Other) ; Nagin, Daniel (Other) ; Chung, Ick-Joong (Other) ; Hill, Karl G. (Other) ; Hawkins, J. David 1945- ; Nagin, Daniel 1948-
Format: Electronic/Print Article
Language:English
Published: 2002
In: Journal of research in crime and delinquency
Year: 2002, Volume: 39, Issue: 1, Pages: 60-90
Online Access: Presumably Free Access
Volltext (doi)
Journals Online & Print:
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Availability in Tübingen:Present in Tübingen.
IFK: In: Z 31
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Keywords:
Abbruch
Alter
Entwicklung
Kriminalität
Kriminelle Karriere
Mehrfachtäter
Tätertypologie

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520 |a Previous research has shown heterogeneity in offense trajectories. Using data from the Seattle Social Development Project, a longitudinal study of 808 youths followed since 1985, this study seeks to identify childhood predictors of different offense trajectories. Five offense trajectories were identified using semiparametric, group-based modeling: nonoffenders, late onsetters, desisters, escalators, and chronic offenders. Multinomial logistic regressions were then employed to examine childhood predictors measured at ages 10 to 12 that distinguish these five groups. Results indicated that among initial nonoffenders at age 13, late onsetters were distinguished from nonoffenders by individual factors. Among youth already delinquent at age 13, escalators were distinguished from desisters by peer, school, and neighborhood factors 
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