RT Article
T1 Comparing Predictive Validity of JSORRAT-II and MEGA♪: with Sexually Abusive Youth in Long-Term Residential Custody
JF International journal of offender therapy and comparative criminology
VO 62
IS 10
SP 2937
OP 2953
A1 Rasmussen, Lucinda A. Lee
LA English
YR 2018
UL https://krimdok.uni-tuebingen.de/Record/1588368297
AB This 6-year prospective study is the first to compare two psychometrically sound risk assessment tools for sexually abusive youth: JSORRAT-II and MEGA♪. Cross-validated on representative samples of over 500 youth, these measures have cutoff scores, allowing for a more exact assessment of risk. Study sample consisted of 129 male adjudicated adolescents housed in a secured residential treatment facility for sexually abusive youth. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed that MEGA♪ Risk Scale was mildly predictive of sexual recidivism over a 6-year period (mean follow-up = 15.6 months)—area under the curve (AUC) = .67; 95% confidence interval [CI] = [0.52, 0.82]; p < .015. JSORRAT-II was not predictive (AUC = .57; 95% CI = [0.42, 0.72]; p < .297). The study contributes to scant literature on the most contemporary, statistically robust risk assessment tools for sexually abusive youth.
K1 Risk assessment
K1 Adolescent sex offenders
K1 Juvenile sex offenders
K1 Residential care
K1 Recidivism
K1 Jugendliche Sexualtäter
K1 Jugendliche Sexualstraftäter
K1 Rückfälligkeit
K1 Risikoeinschätzung
DO 10.1177/0306624X17726550