Isolating target and neighbourhood vulnerabilities in crime forecasting

Risk terrain modelling (RTM) is emerging as an effective approach for predicting how and where crimes concentrate within cities and regions. However, in its previous applications there is a tendency to overestimate the influence of external environmental risks and preventive factors. Most studies ap...

Full description

Saved in:  
Bibliographic Details
Authors: Dugato, Marco (Author) ; Favarin, Serena (Author) ; Bosisio, Antonio (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
Published: 2018
In: European journal on criminal policy and research
Year: 2018, Volume: 24, Issue: 4, Pages: 393-415
Online Access: Volltext (Verlag)
Journals Online & Print:
Drawer...
Check availability: HBZ Gateway
Keywords:
Risk terrain modelling
Residential burglary
Crime forecasting
Crime prevention
Risk factors
Target-related risks

MARC

LEADER 00000caa a2200000 4500
001 1586484524
003 DE-627
005 20201020140051.0
007 cr uuu---uuuuu
008 190122s2018 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c
024 7 |a 10.1007/s10610-018-9385-2  |2 doi 
035 |a (DE-627)1586484524 
035 |a (DE-576)516484524 
035 |a (DE-599)BSZ516484524 
040 |a DE-627  |b ger  |c DE-627  |e rda 
041 |a eng 
100 1 |a Dugato, Marco  |e VerfasserIn  |0 (DE-588)1219938033  |0 (DE-627)173603975X  |4 aut 
109 |a Dugato, Marco 
245 1 0 |a Isolating target and neighbourhood vulnerabilities in crime forecasting  |c Marco Dugato, Serena Favarin, Antonio Bosisio 
264 1 |c 2018 
336 |a Text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a Computermedien  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a Online-Ressource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
520 |a Risk terrain modelling (RTM) is emerging as an effective approach for predicting how and where crimes concentrate within cities and regions. However, in its previous applications there is a tendency to overestimate the influence of external environmental risks and preventive factors. Most studies applying RTM have investigated factors associated with the characteristics of the urban setting, whilst only a limited number have focused on identifying the risks associated with the availability and the characteristics of potential targets for criminals. This study uses RTM to identify the spatial risk and protective factors related to residential burglaries in the city of Milan, Italy. Factors considered are the neighbourhood- and target-related contextual factors, the exposure to crime and potential mitigating strategies. The results show that when the place and target of the offence are intrinsically related a target-oriented approach to select factors is useful for increasing the understanding of why some locations are most likely to experience future crimes. Indeed, the peculiarities of the target itself are integral to understan both the decision-making of criminals and the overall level of crime risk. Related policy implications are discussed. 
700 1 |a Favarin, Serena  |e VerfasserIn  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Bosisio, Antonio  |e VerfasserIn  |4 aut 
773 0 8 |i Enthalten in  |t European journal on criminal policy and research  |d Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V, 1993  |g 24(2018), 4, Seite 393-415  |h Online-Ressource  |w (DE-627)320528197  |w (DE-600)2015435-5  |w (DE-576)121465713  |x 1572-9869  |7 nnns 
773 1 8 |g volume:24  |g year:2018  |g number:4  |g pages:393-415 
856 4 0 |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10610-018-9385-2  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
951 |a AR 
ELC |a 1 
LOK |0 000 xxxxxcx a22 zn 4500 
LOK |0 001 3047064229 
LOK |0 003 DE-627 
LOK |0 004 1586484524 
LOK |0 005 20190122161937 
LOK |0 008 190122||||||||||||||||ger||||||| 
LOK |0 040   |a DE-21-110  |c DE-627  |d DE-21-110 
LOK |0 689   |a s  |a Risk terrain modelling 
LOK |0 689   |a s  |a Residential burglary 
LOK |0 689   |a s  |a Crime forecasting 
LOK |0 689   |a s  |a Crime prevention 
LOK |0 689   |a s  |a Risk factors 
LOK |0 689   |a s  |a Target-related risks 
LOK |0 852   |a DE-21-110 
LOK |0 852 1  |9 00 
LOK |0 935   |a krub 
ORI |a SA-MARC-krimdoka001.raw