The 2015 static-99r: alternative recidivism tables for high-risk offenders

The Static-99R is an actuarial scale that is commonly used to assess the recidivism risk of male sex offenders. Hanson, Thornton, Helmus, and Babchishin recently revised the Static-99R norms based on revised analyses that excluded the large Bridgewater sample. As a result, the sample size of the hig...

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Autores principales: Elwood, Richard W. (Autor) ; Kelley, Sharon M. (Autor) ; Mund, James C. (Autor)
Tipo de documento: Electrónico Artículo
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2017
En: International journal of offender therapy and comparative criminology
Año: 2017, Volumen: 61, Número: 14, Páginas: 1593-1605
Acceso en línea: Volltext (Publisher)
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Palabras clave:
Sexual recidivism
Recidivism rates
Risk assessment
Actuarial scale
Static-99R
Rückfall
Wiederholungstäter
Bewertung
Sexualdelikte
Gewaltdelikte
Risikomanagement
Gefährdung
Descripción
Sumario:The Static-99R is an actuarial scale that is commonly used to assess the recidivism risk of male sex offenders. Hanson, Thornton, Helmus, and Babchishin recently revised the Static-99R norms based on revised analyses that excluded the large Bridgewater sample. As a result, the sample size of the high risk/high need (HR/HN) group was reduced substantially, which increased the confidence intervals around the predicted recidivism rates. This study provides alternative 5- and 10-year recidivism rates based on logistic regression analyses of the entire 2009 Static-99R HR/HN group that includes the Bridgewater sample. These rates fit the observed 2009 data well and have smaller confidence intervals. We propose that using alternative sexual recidivism rates from the 2009 HR/HN group is a viable option for assessing sexually violent person (SVP) and other high-risk offenders.
ISSN:1552-6933
DOI:10.1177/0306624X15623803