Strategic warning intelligence: history, challenges, and prospects

John A. Gentry and Joseph S. Gordon update our understanding of strategic warning intelligence analysis for the twenty-first century. Strategic warning--the process of long-range analysis to alert senior leaders to trending threats and opportunities that require action--is a critical intelligence fu...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Gentry, John A. 1949- (Author) ; Gordon, Joseph S. (Author)
Format: Print Book
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC Georgetown University Press [2019]
In:Year: 2019
Online Access: Inhaltsverzeichnis (Aggregator)
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500 |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 241-261) and index 
520 |a John A. Gentry and Joseph S. Gordon update our understanding of strategic warning intelligence analysis for the twenty-first century. Strategic warning--the process of long-range analysis to alert senior leaders to trending threats and opportunities that require action--is a critical intelligence function. It also is frequently misunderstood and underappreciated. Gentry and Gordon draw on both their practitioner and academic backgrounds to present a history of the strategic warning function in the US intelligence community, outline the capabilities of analytic methods, explain why strategic warning analysis is so hard, discuss the special challenges strategic warning encounters from senior decisionmakers, compare how strategic warning functions in other countries, evaluate why the United States has in recent years emphasized current intelligence instead of strategic warning, and recommend warning-related structural and procedural improvements in the US intelligence community. The authors also examine historical case studies, including postmortems of warning failures, to provide examples of the analytic points they make. Strategic Warning Intelligence will interest scholars and practitioners and will be an ideal teaching text for intermediate and advanced students 
520 |a Concepts of strategic warning intelligence -- Four classic warning cases -- Types of government warning institutions -- The evolution of U.S., British, Dutch, and NATO warning institutions -- Warning methodological issues -- The "indications and warning" analytic method -- Other warning analytic techniques -- Cognitive, psychological, and character issues -- Producers of warning intelligence beyond formal intelligence communities -- Dealing with senior intelligence consumers -- Institutional issues -- The future of strategic warning intelligence 
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